What information is provided for each market?
For every market on SI Predict, you’ll find a market description page that includes all the key details you need to participate knowledgeably. This typically includes:
- The Question: The exact phrasing of the yes/no proposition (e.g., “Will [Event] happen by [Date]?”).
- Outcomes: The two possible outcomes (Yes and No). In some cases, markets could have multiple choices, but the vast majority are binary.
- Current Price/Probability: The live price for a Yes share and a No share. You might see these as percentages or as USDC values (e.g., Yes at $0.40, No at $0.60). These indicate the market’s consensus probability (40% chance of Yes in this example).
- Market Volume and Liquidity: How much trading volume the market has and how much liquidity is available (this tells you how active the market is and how easily you can buy/sell shares).
- Time Frame/Expiry: The deadline or date when the event outcome will be decided. It will specify when the market closes to new trades (often just before the event or decision) and when resolution is expected.
- Resolution Criteria: Crucially, the page will explain how the outcome will be determined. It might cite an official source or rule. For instance, “Resolution source: The official announcement by [League/Event Organizer]” or “Yes if X happens by 11:59 pm UTC on Dec 31, 2025; No otherwise.” These criteria remove ambiguity.
- Additional Rules: Any edge cases or special conditions are noted. For example, if the question is “Will X happen by date Y?” there might be a note on what happens if Y passes without a clear outcome (usually that would result in a No). If a sports-related event is postponed or a player doesn’t participate, the rules will clarify how the market is handled.
- Background Info (if applicable): Some markets include a bit of context or reference links to help users understand the event (especially for news or political markets).
All this information is there to help you make an informed trade. Before trading, it’s wise to read the market description so you fully understand what you’re predicting on and how it will be settled.